Film Awards Tracking Database 2008

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The Categories
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Only films on the main or small films tracker are included for BP and BD

No particular order; Major contenders in bold

Best Picture

Title Pros Cons
The Dark Knight If any comic adaptation were ever to hit, this one would be it Thanks to Slumdog, it's probably going to be shut out
Slumdog Millionaire It's hit everything else. There's absolutely no reason it should miss here. Is it really THAT good?
Milk Van Sant's masterpiece biopic It's not making quite as big a splash as it should
Frost/Nixon The play comes to screen beautifully It's much lower profile than it should be.
Revolutionary Road Leo and Kate back together again A little on the manufactured side
The Reader Despite its bad ratings, it's backed by WeinCo, which means it's a contender If there is any sense in AMPAS at all, they'll pick Kate out and leave the messy rest.
Benjamin Button A chaotic but wonderful mess of a film Do people get this?
Doubt Solid, traditional Oscat bait Solid, traditional Oscar bait
Gran Torino Eastwood probably has a wing of the AMPAS offices named for him Ego ego ego

Best Director

Name/Film Pros Cons
David Fincher/Benjamin Button    
Christopher Nolan/TDK    
Ron Howard/Frost/Nixon    
Gus Van Sant/Milk    
Danny Boyle/Slumdog Millionaire    
Sam Mendes/Revolutionary Road    

Best Actor

Name/Film Pros Cons
Mickey Rourke/Wrestler While we're watching comebacks, this is a great one, and a perfect role for him Very small film with late-breaking interest
Sean Penn/Milk This was a foregone conclusion as soon as casting was announced Sean Penn is ubiquitous
Brad Pitt/Button Pitt goes serious, and plays a LOT of range Can they take him seriously enough?
Dev Patel/Slumdog The star of the show More likely to go supporting
Javier Bardem/Vicky Cristina Bardem is great in anything Too bad the film itself was weak
Frank Langella/Frost/Nixon Langella is a way-overdue character actor who finally found his perfect role Possibly a bit too much scenery chewing
Colin Farrell/In Bruges A great comic role in an underrated film Way too low-profile, even after the Globes
Clint Eastwood/Gran Torino The Godfather of film has another go--back to his roots Clint, would you just retire already?
Josh Brolin/W An uncanny and unflinching portrayal of the monkey man The film itself flopped
Leo DiCaprio/Revolutionary Road Probably his best role since The Aviator If the film gets a nom, he's in. If not, it's just Kate's show.

Best Actress

Candidates in this category often come from films that otherwise don't come off well. So few standout lead roles for women happen every year that a lot of otherwise sub-par films produce award contending actresses. Therefore reviews alone don't settle this pack out until critics' awards start coming in.

Name/Film Pros Cons
Angelina Jolie/Changeling The shining star of a lackluster film. Definitely some of her best work The film itself fell over and died
Meryl Streep/Doubt It's Meryl. Being crotchety. Meryl AGAIN? Please.
Anne Hathaway/Rachel Getting Married Her first serious go is a winner. But it is her first serious go.
Kate Winslet/Revolutionary Road This is Kate's year. Expect her to get both noms, and a win for this Is this really the film they want to reward her for?
Sally Hawkins/Happy-Go-Lucky Breakout star of a universally loved film Critics loved it. But did anyone else even see it?
Cate Blanchett/Benjamin Button The lovely and always-perfect Cate hits another one Is it really her year again?

Supporting roles often don't really break out of the pack until later in the year.

Best Supporting Actor

Name/Film Pros Cons
Philip Seymour Hoffman/Doubt Perennial favorite in another great role Hoffman again?
Heath Ledger/TDK Phenomenal performance from a tragically lost talent who was robbed in his lead year Some may see this solely as a tribute, and not want to award on that basis
Josh Brolin/Milk Good guy gone bad guy, with a stellar couple of years May be too soon for another nom
Robert Downey, Jr./Tropic Thunder Daring, way out there comic role for the comeback kid. May be an alternative to nominating him for Iron Man Have AMPAS members even seen this film?
James Franco/Milk A rare serious role from the charming and handsome Franco Too much competition and not a juicy enough role
Dev Patel/Slumdog Millionaire The real star of this critical darling film Very unknown
Brad Pitt/Burn After Reading A hilarious parody role in a so-so Coens comedy He'll get most of the attention for Button
Michael Sheen/Frost/Nixon Both of the main roles in this should get noms, though the film itself may escape others. Very unknown, and the film isn't making as big a splash as it should

Best Supporting Actress

Name/Film Pros Cons
Amy Adams/Doubt A serious turn from the comic genius Not quite as good as might be hoped; film is underperforming
Penelope Cruz/Vicky Cristina The shining light in an otherwise-dull Allen flick AMPAS is quite bored with Allen
Viola Davis/Doubt A key role in the not-quite-great film Unknown; lower-profile film
Rosemarie DeWitt/Rachel Getting Married    
Taraji P. Henderson/Benjamin Button    
Freida Pinto/Slumdog Millionaire Very high-profile film Ensemble of unknowns may not produce any individuals
Marisa Tomei/The Wrestler Tomei is back, and shines in a role nearly made for her Have enough AMPAS members seen this?
Debra Winger/Rachel Getting Married    
Kate Winslet/The Reader This is basically a lock The film itself is underperforming